Product: 3-Day Forecast
- Issued: 2026 Apr 04 1230 UTC
Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center.
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 7 (NOAA Scale G3). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Apr 04-Apr 06 2026 is 5.67 (NOAA Scale G2).
| Apr 04 | Apr 05 | Apr 06 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 00-03UT | 4.67 (G1) | 3.67 | 2.67 |
| 03-06UT | 3.67 | 3.67 | 3.00 |
| 06-09UT | 2.67 | 3.67 | 2.67 |
| 09-12UT | 2.67 | 2.67 | 2.67 |
| 12-15UT | 4.67 (G1) | 2.67 | 2.00 |
| 15-18UT | 4.00 | 2.00 | 1.67 |
| 18-21UT | 3.00 | 2.67 | 1.67 |
| 21-00UT | 5.67 (G2) | 2.67 | 2.67 |
Rationale: The geomagnetic field is expected to reach G1 (Minor) storm levels on 04 Apr, with periods of G2 (Moderate) storming likely, due to waning CME effects and negative polarity CH HSS influences.
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds.
| Apr 04 | Apr 05 | Apr 06 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| S1 or greater | 20% | 20% | 20% |
Rationale: There is a slight chance for the greater than 10 MeV proton flux to exceed S1 (Minor) solar radiation storm levels over 04-06 Apr.
Radio blackouts reaching the R2 levels were observed over the past 24 hours. The largest was at Apr 04 2026 0117 UTC.
| Apr 04 | Apr 05 | Apr 06 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1-R2 | 55% | 55% | 55% |
| R3 or greater | 20% | 20% | 20% |
Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are likely, with a slight chance for an R3 (Strong) or greater event, on 04-06 Apr.
The sun is constantly monitored for sun spots and coronal mass ejections. EIT (Extreme ultraviolet Imaging Telescope) images the solar atmosphere at several wavelengths, and therefore, shows solar material at different temperatures. In the images taken at 304 Angstrom the bright material is at 60,000 to 80,000 degrees Kelvin. In those taken at 171 Angstrom, at 1 million degrees. 195 Angstrom images correspond to about 1.5 million Kelvin, 284 Angstrom to 2 million degrees. The hotter the temperature, the higher you look in the solar atmosphere.
The MDI (Michelson Doppler Imager) images shown here are taken in the continuum near the Ni I 6768 Angstrom line.
The most prominent features are the sun spots.
LASCO (Large Angle Spectrometric Coronagraph) is able to take images of the solar corona by blocking the light coming directly from the Sun with an occulter disk, creating an artificial eclipse within the instrument itself.
The Solar Cycle is observed by counting the frequency and placement of sunspots visible on the Sun. The forecast comes from the Solar Cycle Prediction Panel representing NOAA, NASA and the International Space Environmental Services (ISES). The Prediction Panel has predicted Cycle 25 to reach a maximum of 115 occurring in July, 2025. The solar radio flux at 10.7 cm (2800 MHz) is an excellent indicator of solar activity. Often called the F10.7 index, it is one of the longest running records of solar activity. The F10.7 radio emissions originates high in the chromosphere and low in the corona of the solar atmosphere. The F10.7 correlates well with the sunspot number as well as a number of UltraViolet (UV) and visible solar irradiance records.
Instruments on board the NOAA Polar-orbiting Operational Environmental Satellite (POES) continually monitor the power flux carried by the protons and electrons that produce aurora in the atmosphere. SWPC has developed a technique that uses the power flux observations obtained during a single pass of the satellite over a polar region (which takes about 25 minutes) to estimate the total power deposited in an entire polar region by these auroral particles. The power input estimate is converted to an auroral activity index that ranges from 1 to 10.
Conditions on the Sun and in the solar wind, magnetosphere, ionosphere and thermosphere can influence the performance and reliability of space-borne and ground-based technological systems and can endanger human life or health. This introduction movie in the English language will open on a new tab/window when you click on the image below.
Space Weather Images and Information (excluded from copyright) courtesy of:
NOAA / NWS Space Weather Prediction Center  
Mauna Loa Solar Observatory (HAO/NCAR)  
SOHO (ESA & NASA)
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Additions by Ken True of Saratoga Weather and Jerry Wilkins of Southeast Lincoln Weather.