Space Weather Observations, Alerts, and Forecast

Product: 3-Day Forecast - Issued: 2024 Apr 26 0030 UTC
Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center.

Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 1 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Apr 26-Apr 28 2024 is 4.00 (below NOAA Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Apr 26-Apr 28 2024
Apr 26Apr 27Apr 28
00-03UT3.672.672.67
03-06UT4.003.673.00
06-09UT3.333.003.67
09-12UT3.002.672.67
12-15UT2.672.672.67
15-18UT2.002.672.67
18-21UT2.003.002.00
21-00UT2.673.332.00

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Apr 26-Apr 28 2024
Apr 26Apr 27Apr 28
S1 or greater15%15%15%

Rationale: There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor) storms over 26-28 Apr due tot he position and flare potential of several active regions in the W hemisphere.

Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24 hours. The largest was at Apr 25 2024 1712 UTC.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Apr 26-Apr 28 2024
Apr 26Apr 27Apr 28
R1-R275%75%75%
R3 or greater15%15%15%

Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) events are expected, with a slight chance for R3 (Strong), over the next three days.

Space Weather Overview

overview
Credits

Space Weather Images and Information (excluded from copyright) courtesy of:
NOAA / NWS Space Weather Prediction Center   Mauna Loa Solar Observatory (HAO/NCAR)   SOHO (ESA & NASA)

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