Space Weather Observations, Alerts, and Forecast

Product: 3-Day Forecast - Issued: 2020 Jul 03 1230 UTC
Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center.

Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 1 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jul 03-Jul 05 2020 is 2 (below NOAA Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jul 03-Jul 05 2020
Jul 03Jul 04Jul 05
00-03UT122
03-06UT111
06-09UT111
09-12UT111
12-15UT111
15-18UT111
18-21UT222
21-00UT222

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-16 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jul 03-Jul 05 2020
Jul 03Jul 04Jul 05
S1 or greater1%1%1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast.

Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jul 03-Jul 05 2020
Jul 03Jul 04Jul 05
R1-R21%1%1%
R3 or greater1%1%1%

Rationale: No R1 (Minor) or greater radio blackouts are expected. No significant active region flare activity is forecast.

Credits

Space Weather Images and Information (excluded from copyright) courtesy of:
NOAA / NWS Space Weather Prediction Center   Mauna Loa Solar Observatory (HAO/NCAR)   SOHO (ESA & NASA)

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